It seems this year's dry season got off to a early start as the last measurable rain was recorded in October 3. The onset of the official dry season typically occurs during mid-October. Although temperatures have remained in the 80s for most of this period, the low humidity levels have definitely made the feeling of fall felt across the region. The next chance for rain may occur on Wednesday as a frontal zone will increase humidity levels, giving us a possibility for rain. However, it is still unlikely we will witness any significant rainfall, if any, for the foreseeable future, keeping many counties currently reporting rainfall deficits devoid of much needed precipitation.
As for the tropics, it has not been anywhere near as active as I once suspected. We had an extremely active September, but it seems with the shutting down of the Cape Verde season, the high shear environment, and dry air in the Caribbean, has limited many tropical waves from developing. Currently, Invest 99L, located just north of Panama, is expected to encounter a moderate shear environment. If it does develop, models have it continuing its westward progression into the Pacific. At this point, we may see 1 or 2 more storms at most develop until the end of the hurricane season (November 30th).
Current rainfall at my location for the month of October: 0.06 in.
Lowest recorded October rainfall in Orlando: 0.10 in.
We may break that record, but there's still a lot of October left!! ;-)
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